The FedWatch Ghost: Why Crypto Markets Are Misreading the Rate Path
The CME FedWatch probability distribution is telling a story that most crypto...
AI
•
CryptoSam
•
2026-08-22
#fedwatch
fedwatch related articles
Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$75,688.7
-0.35%
ETH
Ethereum
$2,396.15
-0.40%
SOL
Solana
$97.7
-0.07%
BNB
BNB Chain
$716.8
-0.35%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.29
-0.75%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0800
-0.90%
ADA
Cardano
$0.1925
-2.48%
AVAX
Avalanche
$7.3
-0.41%
DOT
Polkadot
$0.9827
+2.65%
LINK
Chainlink
$10.87
-1.97%
Fear & Greed
51
Neutral
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202615
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Altseason Index
42
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Trend Tags
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$75,688.7 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$2,396.15 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$97.7 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$716.8 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.29 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0800 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1925 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$7.3 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.9827 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$10.87 |
🐋 Whale Tracker
🔴
0x3e81...fb9f
12h ago
Out
585 ETH
🟢
0xf50a...55b6
6h ago
In
43,993 SOL
🟢
0x8272...ae9c
12m ago
In
758 ETH
💡 Smart Money
0x05cc...37e5
Market Maker
+$2.7M
92%
0x4737...6def
Experienced On-chain Trader
+$4.8M
77%
0xd8f3...faad
Experienced On-chain Trader
+$4.5M
90%