The 18.5% Signal: What the Moscow-Kyiv Peace Push Actually Prices Into Crypto
The number hit my screen at 08:14 GMT. Polymarket's Russia-Ukraine ceasefire...
Polymarket related articles
The number hit my screen at 08:14 GMT. Polymarket's Russia-Ukraine ceasefire...
On March 18, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) fined former Whi...
The U.S. Department of Justice is preparing to prosecute a soldier for inside...
The assumption is that user growth is a positive signal. For a prediction...
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We mined liquidity while the code slept. That was my first thought when I saw...
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I saw the wire tap before the wallet drained. South Korea’s broadcast...
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The data shows a structural fracture forming beneath the CFTC's first...
I didn't fly to San Francisco just to see the same faces. The real show is in...
The news broke on August 14, 2025: JPMorgan Chase, the largest bank in the...
The odds moved first. On Polymarket, the contract for a Bank of Japan rate hi...
We are told that blockchain eliminates the need for trust. But the lawsuit...
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Block 0x43a2... on Polygon recorded a transaction at 14:32 UTC on October 14,...
During my time tracking Ethereum wallets in 2017, I learned one thing: where...
Over the past seven days, Dune Analytics recorded a 56% decline in Polymarket...
Polymarket's weekly trading volume just dropped 56% from its June peak. Kalsh...
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195 days. That’s the lifespan of Fireplace, a prediction market terminal that...
The signal is brutally clear. Polymarket traders have priced a 65% probabilit...
The Senate recess begins Monday morning. John Thune's office has announced...
A $20 billion valuation target is a declaration. Polymarket does not mine...
The 61% figure is not from a think tank. It is a price. A blockchain predicti...
The market just priced your next geopolitical crisis at 14.5 cents on the...
Polymarket says it will challenge France’s website block. The French National...
Hook: Polymarket shows a 74% probability that Iran will launch military actio...
The exploit wasn't a flash loan or a reentrancy bug. It was a number. 46%....
The FT dropped a quiet bomb last week: insurers are cutting premiums for...
The blockchain doesn't lie, but it does whisper. On July 15, 2026, at block...
Israel’s latest warning about a potential Iranian attack is front-page news....
A Polymarket contract sits at 30.5%. The question: "Will Iran reconstruction...
On July 22, 2024, a U.S. House subcommittee convened to decide whether...
On a quiet Tuesday morning, a prediction market contract on Polymarket ticked...
The US launches strikes on Iran. Oil ticks up — barely. The real story isn't ...
The data point landed with surgical precision: a prediction market pricing a...
A freshly funded project with a $22 billion valuation. That’s the number...
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On a quiet Tuesday afternoon, a prediction market contract quietly updated it...
Hook Polymarket's latest odds show a 6% probability that Solana (SOL) will...
Hook A prediction market contract on a potential 10-day ceasefire between Tru...
The clock stops, but the chain doesn’t. Polymarket just priced Iran-US...
I trace the wallet, not the whisper. When I opened the Crypto Briefing piece ...
A prediction market contract currently prices the probability of Halane city...
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Greed
Market Sentiment
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
92 million ARB released
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Team and early investor shares released
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Block reward halving event
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Bitcoin Season
| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$76,594.6 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$2,452.77 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$101.93 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$743 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.3 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0822 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.2062 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$7.66 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$1.1 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$11.46 |